Showing posts with label data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label data. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Common Names for Serial Killers

Hello, readers!

Today's post takes a bit of a turn from previous writing, as I'm incorporating one of my other major interests: serial killers. I'm a huge fan of true crime media, and over the past few months of traveling I've binged crime documentaries, podcasts (My Favorite Murder and Last Podcast on the Left in particular), and dramatizations on the lives and deeds of some of the most deranged murderers in history. Of course, I've been keeping an ear out for name-related trivia as well.

Edmund Emil Kemper III, the "Co-Ed Killer"

Years ago, I read an article online that claimed Wayne was more popular as a middle name among criminals (here's a more recent article on the "Wayne Theory") than in the general population. While there's no real evidence of this phenomenon - the United States doesn't collect or publish data on middle names, as far as I can tell - the idea that one's name might predict later criminal behavior was fascinating to me. Family relationships, class, financial status, race, gender, and environment all factor in to the likelihood of someone becoming a criminal - could names indicate these factors early on?

I'm not going to draw any dramatic conclusions until I can look at real data and sift through the complicated links between predictive factors for criminal behavior, but some theories have come to mind. What if men of a certain personality - hyper-masculine, traditional, intimidating - named their sons after a hero of mid-century cinema, John Wayne? And what if these men were more likely to raise children who would exhibit criminal behaviors?

What else can name data tell us about "deviants"? I decided to look at the data on the first, middle, and adopted names of serial killers in the United States. Using this Wikipedia entry (obviously not complete, but a decent representation) and discarding the names of female killers, I came up with a group of 201 names.


These are men of varying ages, mostly white, with some black and Latino individuals. A majority of these men were active in the twentieth century. Most common first/middle names:

12   - Joseph 
11   - Edward
10* - John 
10* - Richard 
10   - David
10   - Robert
9     - Lee 
8*   - Michael 
8     - Charles
7     - William
6*   - James 
6     - Anthony
6     - Wayne 

* = One name would be added if nicknames were to be included

Of the 13 names listed above, 11 fall into the 25 most popular names for men in the United States over the past century: Joseph, Edward, John, Richard, David, Robert, Michael, Charles, William, James, Anthony. The other two names rank much lower for the general male population versus the serial killer summation: Lee and Wayne.

Wayne! Based on my not-super-scientific data, there may be a correlation between criminals and use of the name. I'm eager to access real data someday and follow this theory.

Lee's popularity over time is directly related to the Confederate Civil War general Robert E. Lee - many Southern parents chose the name Lee to honor him in the decades after the war. The name has been decreasing in popularity since 1900, and since many of the killers listed were born in the twentieth century, it may indicate that their families had stronger-than-average ties to the South, or the tradition of using honorific names. Which brings me to another interesting finding...

The name community uses the term "honorific name" to refer to the practice of choosing a name for a child that celebrates a relative, friend, or place important to the parents. This could be anything from using Charlotte to honor Uncle Charlie, Ruby to honor Grandma's birthstone, Denali in honor of her parents' honeymoon site, etc. However, I'm going to use the term here to specifically refer to names directly taken from fathers and grandfathers, names that end in Jr., III, IV, etc.

Out of 201 names, 23 of these serial killers have Jr/III/IV at the end of their names. That's over 11% of them! This number seems particularly high, but the only article I found that listed data on the percentage of honorific names in the population referred to studies from the 1940's. At that time, 3% of the general population was named for a father, and that number has been supposedly decreasing over time. But among serial murderers, the tradition of naming a child after the father seems to be alive and well (excuse the terrible joke).

Using honorific names for children is a practice much more common in "honor states," where an emphasis on "traditional family values" is at play (these values include adhering to assigned gender roles, identifying as a Christian, and highlighting nationalism). Often, these communities also exhibit higher rates of patriarchal thought and the elevation of stereotypical masculinity. Honor states mostly include Western and Southern states - another connection to the Southernness of Lee and my John Wayne theory mentioned earlier.

What's the takeaway from this? Well, since it's correlative data and a small sample size, not much. But there's enough here to keep me asking questions... what questions would you want to ask?

---

Here are some interesting articles I referenced in this post:

The Wayne Theory - Heather Sutfin, Sword and Scale

Deciding on a baby name? Steer clear of these because they’re the most common among MURDERERS - Hannah Ferrett, The Sun

Babies Named After Dads: Which States Have More (And Why) - Stephanie Pappas, Live Science

Junior Status: Sharing dad's name a mixed bag - Melissa Dahl, NBC News

Thursday, November 12, 2015

Throwback Thursday: Generational Names

Recently, I've stunned friends and colleagues with my ability to guess middle names within one or two guesses - what they don't know is that I survive on statistics! So, to impress your friends and family, memorize these names and dates and start guessing!


I'm also very excited for this post, because it took learning to some early stage programming in order to create a program to calculate name popularity for a date range - while the SSA provides numbers by decade, I wanted a more specific calculation. Shoutout to my coworker Henry for taking the time to painstakingly teach me basic database programming!

The Greatest Generation, 1901-1924    

Mary
Helen
Dorothy
Margaret
Ruth
Mildred
Anna
Elizabeth
Frances
Virginia

John
William
James
Robert
Charles
George
Joseph
Edward
Frank
Thomas

The Silent Generation, 1925-1945

Mary
Barbara
Betty
Patricia
Dorothy
Shirley
Margaret
Helen
Carol
Nancy

Robert
James
John
William
Richard
Charles
Donald
Thomas
George
Joseph

The Baby Boomers, 1946-1964

Mary
Linda
Patricia
Susan
Barbara
Karen
Deborah
Nancy
Donna
Sandra

James
Robert
John
Michael
David
William
Richard
Thomas
Mark
Charles

The Baby Busters, 1965-1980

Jennifer
Lisa
Michelle
Kimberly
Melissa
Amy
Angela
Mary
Heather
Elizabeth

Michael
David
James
John
Robert
Christopher
Jason
William
Brian
Joseph

The MTV Generation, 1975-1985

Jennifer
Jessica
Amanda
Melissa
Sarah
Amy
Heather
Nicole
Stephanie
Michelle

Michael
Christopher
Jason
David
Matthew
James
John
Robert
Joshua
Daniel

The Millennials, 1985-1995

Jessica
Ashley
Amanda
Sarah
Brittany
Jennifer
Samantha
Stephanie
Elizabeth
Emily

Michael
Christopher
Matthew
Joshua
Daniel
David
Andrew
James
Joseph
John

Generation Z, 1996-2010

Emily
Madison
Hannah
Emma
Samantha
Ashley
Olivia
Alexis
Sarah
Abigail

Jacob
Michael
Matthew
Joshua
Christopher
Andrew
Daniel
Joseph
Nicholas
William